Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1286.661410 1458.167137 1647.315216 1871.948216 2132.158689 2424.933786 2780.463365
2025-11-09 1034.350925 1266.065538 1545.081231 1908.214813 2371.845937 2948.652701 3727.882674
2025-11-16 891.044524 1148.437543 1477.356426 1933.359067 2556.806598 3390.476562 4608.471463
2025-11-23 790.678797 1061.719912 1424.941446 1954.983789 2721.654224 3810.573778 5511.156528
2025-11-30 719.498551 1000.586962 1392.987181 1991.726958 2901.822365 4265.947682 6529.071531
2025-12-07 637.230195 912.067121 1308.916046 1937.408452 2933.559620 4496.856084 7229.658082
2025-12-14 569.337204 835.826005 1232.289744 1881.383305 2949.712001 4697.838311 7904.575016
2025-12-21 509.999579 765.721069 1156.405613 1815.364197 2937.502064 4844.998951 8503.043351
2025-12-28 487.686956 749.986021 1162.287837 1880.422932 3149.520014 5399.064178 9931.396616
2026-01-04 460.561171 723.603979 1147.764420 1908.328181 3298.577198 5859.581867 11261.943359
2026-01-11 433.326217 694.284052 1125.058987 1918.502572 3415.196322 6273.795981 12572.717959
2026-01-18 408.631651 666.847188 1102.588794 1925.829155 3525.971090 6690.157023 13963.900996
2026-01-25 392.789380 653.664958 1104.394507 1979.567912 3736.852543 7346.305698 16041.124364
2026-02-01 375.781951 637.006537 1098.512537 2018.252543 3923.488917 7983.257831 18220.810054
2026-02-08 358.673934 618.574580 1087.433957 2045.056823 4088.347671 8598.118848 20485.442939
2026-02-15 342.598696 600.592379 1075.358143 2068.112074 4247.647318 9225.292390 22928.983668
2026-02-22 329.840571 587.647561 1071.513327 2107.291126 4447.305897 9979.315582 25901.337179
2026-03-01 306.956105 553.746725 1024.062161 2049.373914 4418.243395 10173.141477 27333.269465
2026-03-08 285.905933 521.845649 977.980142 1989.652258 4377.230191 10330.366572 28696.472327
2026-03-15 265.513770 489.830449 929.222755 1919.297670 4302.183413 10388.689906 29773.824549
2026-03-22 260.705564 488.251826 942.305398 1988.628658 4578.321443 11426.176432 34266.201523
2026-03-29 252.323552 478.849408 938.313649 2018.372984 4759.083243 12235.341200 38238.372296
2026-04-05 242.775047 466.373890 926.789520 2029.218883 4892.483209 12934.469171 42037.925821